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CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note (^TNX)

Cboe Indices
4.95 % -0.19 (-3.750%) ⇩ (Oct. 22, 2026, 1:59 p.m. CDT)
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:51 a.m. CDT

The 10-year yield is aggressively reclaiming lost ground, surging past both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages to test near-term resistance at the 52-week high. Recent momentum shows a decisive break above the 5.20% threshold with consistent weekly gains, signaling a sharp repricing of rates despite a slight annual pullback in YoY terms. The market is clearly favoring higher-for-longer inflation expectations over recession fears, pushing yields to their yearly peak.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.068239
AutoETS0.068312
AutoARIMA0.068323
MSTL0.068647

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 42.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.118
Excess Kurtosis -1.51

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 28.940117
All Time High 15.84
All Time Low 0.398
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 0
Average Daily Volume10 Day 0
Average Daily Volume3 Month 0
Average Volume 0
Average Volume10Days 0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 0
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence LOW
Day High 5.054
Day Low 4.939
Display Name CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T
Esg Populated 0
Exchange CGI
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/Chicago
Exchange Timezone Short Name CDT
Fifty Day Average 4.97118
Fifty Day Average Change -0.018179893
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.003657058
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.940117
Fifty Two Week High 5.364
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.41099977
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07662188
Fifty Two Week Low 3.956
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25202224
Fifty Two Week Range 3.956 - 5.364
First Trade Date Milliseconds -252,326,400,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe Indices
Fullday Change -0.19299984
Fullday Change Percent -3.7504828
Fullday Price 4.953
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -18,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 0
Language en-US
Long Name CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note
Market usir_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_INDEXTNX
Open 5.04
Previous Close 5.146
Price Hint 4
Quote Type INDEX
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.19299984
Regular Market Change Percent -3.7504828
Regular Market Day High 5.054
Regular Market Day Low 4.939
Regular Market Day Range 4.939 - 5.054
Regular Market Open 5.04
Regular Market Previous Close 5.146
Regular Market Price 4.953
Regular Market Time 1,792,695,593
Regular Market Volume 0
Short Name 10-Year Bond
Source Interval 15
Symbol ^TNX
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 0
Two Hundred Day Average 4.518485
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.434515
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09616387
Type Disp Index
Volume 0